Thursday, September 22, 2005

First Out the Exit Door

With the revelation in this WaPo story of Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist's uncanny unloading of personal stock in HCA just before the company issued a nasty earnings report, it might be worthwhile to revisit the last time Frist's stock market activity made news. From a WaPo piece in December 2004:
A campaign fund controlled by Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist (R-Tenn.) has lost almost $460,000 in stock market investments since 2000 and now does not have enough to cover a sizable bank loan, according to federal election records and the manager of the Frist account.

The heaviest losses, totaling more than $500,000, occurred in a stock index fund in 2001 and 2002, years when the securities markets suffered a major downturn. But the Frist campaign account lost an additional $32,050 in July and August, a setback that was only partially offset by a gain of $11,472 in September, according to Linus Castignani, treasurer of "Frist 2000," which was created to finance the senator's successful campaign for a second six-year term in 2000.

Meanwhile, records show, Frist has continued to use money from the 2000 campaign account to cover various expenses.

In August 2001, well after the campaign ended, Frist 2000 took out a variable interest rate loan of $360,000 from the Nashville office of U.S. Bank, at an initial rate of 4 percent.

There was a need for cash, Castignani explained, because bills for administrative and political expenses had to be paid from the account even though the money was tied up in the stock market. "Our investments had been made and were losing money, so if we had decided to sell the stock while it was down, the losses would have been permanent. Our hope is the market is improving and our losses will become less."
One of the pearls of wisdom the investment industry is fond of peddling to the public is that it never pays to panic. Wall Street veterans, however, have long known that it often pays to panic before everyone else does then ask questions later.

Did Frist's ongoing painful experience with losses in his campaign fund cause him to "panic first" when it came to his own wallet?

184 Comments:

Anonymous marycal said...

Interesting. Great find on the campaign fund problems, did not know that.

9/22/2005 3:17 AM  
Blogger CBQ said...

All very well but, at the end of the day, he'll get away with this. Why is that?

9/22/2005 4:11 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Congress is a gentlemans' club. As a group they appear to be the most successful and savvy investors in America. Gentlemen do not look too closely at what other gentlemen are doing. Not to forget the ladies, Hillary is well known for her trading skills.

9/22/2005 6:54 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

And the WSJ villified Hillary for it.
Because its a GENTLEMAN"S club after all. No upstarts please and no friggin females....

9/22/2005 6:59 AM  
Blogger 277fia said...

The Republicans were out to humiliate the Clintons on Day One. Imagine being the president and having Senator Al D'Amato investigate you. D'Amato had a long history of suspicious trading and other ethical conflicts besides his ties to organized crime.

I say HCA is probably in worse shape than a second quarter loss. I'm going to look at the financials later if I have time.

Did Frist default on the bank loan?

When John Rowland, the former governor of Connecticut, resigned, mention was made of his one day $26,000 trade in a penny stock, Edulink. Before then, I had looked at Edulink while perusing penny stocks for a different reason so I knew Edulink was bogus. What was intersting was that SAIC,a big government contractor, was involved.

Here in NY, Charles Gargano, the head of state economic development and vice chairman of the Port Authority, has been involved in some really shady companies. Eagle Building Technologies was a real doozy. Added all up, Eagle made over $225,000 in contributions to the Republican Party. Gargano used NYS money to invest in another very questionable company, Intelli-Check.

I'm sure that everyone on Wall Street knows he is a crook but as long as he keeps issuing debt that the likes of Goldman Sachs underwrites, they don't care.

PS-Gargano is tied at the hip with D'Amato.

9/22/2005 8:00 AM  
Blogger copy editor said...

Would I be correct to surmise that you are sketching a motive?

9/22/2005 9:02 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

What else does one expect from a GOP leader in Congress. If they were ethical they would not get the job and keep it. How much ethical and moral leadership and action have we seen out of congress since 2001? I somehow can't think of any!
But then I cannot think of any from Bush or Cheney either.
Ethics are only demanded from the democrats, republicans are ethical because they say so, even if you find them in a manure pile up to their necks.

9/22/2005 9:07 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

From what I'm reading, it looks liek all the top executives bailed.
More to investigate here than a video diagnosing "doctor".

9/22/2005 10:42 AM  
Anonymous kindness said...

yea, if you read Josh Marshal's Talking Points Memo, you will see that most of the senior folks bailed late last spring.

It is possible that the trustee for Frist had some uncanny luck and timing, but who is going to believe that? Not me. Frist knew & told him to sell.

9/22/2005 11:05 AM  
Blogger Roy said...

You have to be extremely bias and or naive to believe that either the republicans or the democrats corner the market on shady deals. I agree with the person who said Congress is a Gentlemans Club. I am sure every one is familiar with Terry McAuliffe turning a $100K into 18 million in Global Crossing which went belly up soon after. It is not a democrat or Republican issue but an elitist issue. These people should be punished!

9/22/2005 6:53 PM  
Blogger Nathan said...

I could not agree with Roy Bettencourt more. This is not a Repub or Dem issue, but a terrible issue within our country. It is easy to see with the politicians in our midst, but also with folks like Ken Lay and other extremely wealthy folks. It has led me to do almost no investing at all due to my limited connections and exposure to inside knowledge.

9/22/2005 7:42 PM  
Blogger 277fia said...

I think Frist sold his HCA stock because he knew it had peaked. The share price increased from $40 at 12/31/04 to $55 at 6/30/05, an increase of 40%. The increase in earnings per share in 2005 was from a decrease in the provision for bad debts, not performance. I suspect that HCA expects to recover more bad debts because of the change in the bankruptcy law.

But HCA had issued new shares in 2005 after borrowing to buy back shares in 2004. The proceeds of $900 million were used to pay down debt.

The question is was the stock hyped in the first six months of 2005 to sell the new issue?

Interestingly, the IRS is after HCA for almost $600 million in back taxes that HCA claims it doesn't owe.

I might let Frist off the hook here. If you read the financials, you probably would recognize that HCA has long term problems. The investors who bought $900 million of the stock this year sure didn't.

9/22/2005 10:37 PM  
Blogger muckdog said...

This isn't a specific party's issue. I think elected officials should be required to place their assets in a blind trust.

9/22/2005 11:46 PM  
Blogger 277fia said...

Re Global Crossings - George Bush the first made about $14 million after he took $80,000 in stock for giving a speech.

Terry McAuliffe, the lowlife weasel,was in on another sleazy telecom deal, Telergy, along with Al D'Amato. The bum actually thought he could run for governor of NY at one time.

The corruption in the telecom industry was mindboggling and a lot of it went undetected.

I know one local telephone company that was set up primarily to re-route calls for other carriers. The only paying customer was a payphone company that was defrauding elderly people by selling investments in its payphones.

I followed RSL for awhile because it was associated with the local telephone company. Leonard Lauder was the major shareholder.

As revenue went up, profit margin went down yet the so-called telecom specialists were forecasting RSL's profits to double, then triple and quadruple even.

RLS borrowed an astounding $2 billion of the strength of its lousy performance. Of course, the creditors all got stiffed when RSL went under.

I'm pretty sure there was a lot more going on and Leonard Lauder wasn't the only prominent investor involved.

There was a lot more going on at Enron, too, than was made public. Some of it you can figure out if you take a hard look.

Enron was another company that as revenue increased, profit margin decreased. How long can that last?

You didn't have to understand the screwy investment schemes to know it was running out of cash. You just had to read the financials.

LOL - I still want to know where the $4 billion in customer deposits that just showed up on 12/31/2000 came from.

I think the brokers who sold Enron wanted the public to think Enron's schemes were so complicated that no one could have known about its problems.

And we should put social security money into the stock market?

9/23/2005 12:16 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

We should trust former Enron advisor, Paul Krugman.

9/23/2005 6:12 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

We should trust the number one recipient of Enron's political contributions---George W. Bush.
Well, we can trust that he will always chart the shortest course towards national oblivion.

9/23/2005 10:03 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

this thing looks like it is heating up FAST.

9/23/2005 11:23 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

So what you're really saying is that prudent investors shouldn't adopt "last-in-Frist-out" accounting?

9/23/2005 6:27 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

'blind-trust'

They are in a blind-trust - wink, wink.

"Frist on his blind trusts in 2003: Right now, I don’t know if I own HCA [stock] because it’s a qualified blind trust. [National Journal, 1/4/03]"

Now: "This week, Frist admited that he knew he owned HCA. In fact, he directed his trustees to sell the shares. Office of Senator Bill Frist press statement, 9/22/05"

"Frist’s Conduct in 1999 Completely Contradicts His 2005 Excuse"

"Insider Trading Runs In the Frist Family"

Don't forget HCA was involved in the largest health care fraud investigation in history. They paid over 1.7 billion.

Frist is too much like Delay. They have the attitude of "I am the government". They forget who they work for - the people.
So much for the laws applying equally to all, and it's a fair playing field.

I don't care if you are Republican, Democrat, or a whatever, character counts, and so do the laws. What frustrates me to no end, is how rabid Republicans went after Democrats, but now they turn their heads. Look, basically for the last 20 years, and certainly the last 10 years, the Republicans have been running the show. All I wish is, everyone would measure our politicians by the same stick, regardless of party... then we would be getting on the right track again. Until both parties start holding their representatives accountable, nothing is going to improve. imho, I think we have the most corrupt administration and congress ever, and that is saying a lot.

Frist's insider trading habits certainly don't install confidence in our free market system.

9/23/2005 6:58 PM  
Blogger 277fia said...

LOL - Go with FIFO.

Re Paul Krugman - Irwin Seltzer was on the Enron advisory board with Krugman. Trust him?

Re social security - The Bush administration wants Americans to support what would be an historic change in the economy with little or no real discussion.

Where's the prospectus? If Americans are going to be the biggest class of investors in the history of the world, we are entitled to the best financial and economic information available.

Let's see the projections that show how redirected social security money will change the economy. Give us cash flow and risk analyses. Lay out the potential conflict between government and corporate policies.

Give us the same forecast of what the world economy for the next twenty years that Goldman Sachs gives to its best clients.

Let's ask Warren Buffet what he thinks about privatizing social security. I'm sure he would be happy to help out.

The president is way, way out of line here.

And why is the financial community dead silent?

9/23/2005 9:24 PM  
Anonymous CaseyL said...

The financial community is dead silent because the prospect of a trillion or so dollars coming their way to be "invested" in whatever craptacular stock they're pushing this week has them drooling uncontrollably.

9/23/2005 11:09 PM  
Blogger Tayefeth said...

Let's ask Warren Buffet what he thinks about privatizing social security.

Warren Buffett has already said what he thinks about fixing social security. Then again, unlike Dubya, Buffett occasionally rubs elbows with people who don't know who he is.

9/25/2005 12:04 AM  
Blogger 277fia said...

tayefeth, Thanks for the link. enjoyed reading that Lou Dobbs thinks the system is fixed in favor of the rich.

What I am looking for is Mr. Buffet's opinion on what would happen to the market if social security was privatized. I

I wish someone would come up with the reports that Goldman Sachs etc. put together.

Then again, I think someone should go back and compare how much advertising time was bought by the Bush campaign from Media General versus how much advertising Media General provided.

It just so happened that Enron bought an unprofitable newsprint mill from Media General in July 2000 for $76m.

Media General owns newspapers and television stations in the southeast.

Just one of those many things I wonder about.

9/26/2005 2:07 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

They have a Frist timeline here - click on Frist Stock timeline.

9/26/2005 12:05 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

The blogger at War and Piece asks:

"So mobbed up, it's not even funny. Is this what the conservative movement has come to? Get this on the two mobsters arrested today in the gangland-style killing of Abramoff-Kidan business partner Gus Boulis. From the Miami Herald back in August:"

Abramoff was running a Rove/Delay Republican slush fund! Frist will slide because these "Republicans" have crossed the ethics line and are corrupt to the core.

9/27/2005 3:16 PM  
Blogger 277fia said...

LOL - The funniest bit is Abramoff claiming that Kidan "hoodwinked" him by keeping secret his past business failures and disbarment as an attorney.

Like Abramoff didn't have access to Lexis-Nexis like every other attorney in the US?

This case should heat up because no way anyone in his right mind, including Abramoff and the bankers, would have thought that Kidan had $23 million. Kidan stiffed Amex for $31K and NYC for a few grand in taxes.

What's interesting is that the news stories that mention Kidan make him appear to be a somewhat successful businessman.

Supposedly, Kidan had a chain of bagel stores but he's only listed as the attorney on the business registration for a company named Dial-A-Bagel. Luis and Napoleon Barragan, the owners of Dial-A-Mattress, are listed as the officers.

Kidan is now listed as the owner of three laundromats. Still laundering money, I guess.

Kidan's mother, Judith Shemtov, was shot by mobsters when she opened the door to them. in Staten Island. The mobsters claim it was an "accident" and that they were there to rob Sami Shemtov because they knew he kept $200k in the house. Hmm...how did they know that?

Shemtov filed the complaint against Kidan that got Kidan disbarred. Kidan supposedly held back $100k of $450k in the proceeds from the sale of a business. Shemtov has since moved to Florida and has a string of businesses along with another Shemtov from Brooklyn.

I say the mob was involved in the Suncruz deal long before they were hired to bump off Boulis.

9/28/2005 2:21 AM  
Blogger 277fia said...

Oops - Kidan did have two bagel stores in the Hamptons. The business address was in care of one Anthony Carace.

9/28/2005 6:29 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

If Frist is to be questioned, why not Rove or Bush - Rove sold his Enron holdings shortly after "Kenny Boy" Lay visited the White House. When questioned, the answer was that he was "divesting" himself. The time to divest would have been in December, before assuming power, not in June after private conversations revealed that the Enron bubble was about to burst. Of course, there was no investigation.

There was no serious investigation of the same type of financial insider dealing when George W. Bush sold his "gift stock" from Harken Energy, just before it tanked.

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